September 2, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Merger of Banks | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruler of the Nile | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take It to Scale | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bronze Age | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin At Blessing | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Party | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Chamo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Access | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pipes | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bustin Hoffman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Beach Front | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exchange Fever | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Charge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ro Jo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gray’s Image | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bettor Bank On It | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rhythm With Soul | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Glominator | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | His Honor | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mac Jagger | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fully Vested | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Almithmaar | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rubus | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jiggy Cheese Dog | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Filly Joel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Princess | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Club | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Off Topic | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dovey Lovey | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Style and Grace | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Introspection | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy That | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Still Processing | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Moment | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cha Cha Heels | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Doesn’t Mind (FR) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella’s Game | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Front Row Debbie | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Connie Girl | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Image | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Questeq | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Priceless | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Quality | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Courageous Change | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Havana Affair | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Alphabetting | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Oh Dilly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aquariva | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Girl of Tosconova | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Enough Love | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roziere | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s a Lovely Day | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Agnes | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Me to Hardoon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose of Dublin | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Nation | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fika | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Makes Me Smile | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cpl. Magdalena | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tweedia | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takecharge Mirella | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Tale | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stand for the Flag | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Positive Spirit | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brass Ring | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Utiki | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Filly Ride | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She’s Got It All | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Killeen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Long Gray Line | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Accolade | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Congruity | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meilleur | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spectacular Plum | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Year of the Kitten | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phone Funky Munky | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Bill | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Deep | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fast Track Kathern | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Indy Union | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Too Cool to Dance | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Cabinet | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Scarlett | 0.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bramble Queen | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nantucket Red | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goodbye Brockley | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fairy Link | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Prioress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dream Pauline | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bronx Beauty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mia Mischief | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Tree | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sower | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Win the War | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cathedral Reader | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonshine Memories | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Act | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Purrfect Miss | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miko | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rose Velvet (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Out of Trouble | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jaunt | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Transaction Tax | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Munchkin Money | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Designing | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Remarqued | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Untaken | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cherry Wine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Extinct Charm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sycamore Lane | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Plan | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Your Only Man | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neoclassic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nileator | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hieroglyphics | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indebted | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | St. Louie | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of New York | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.