September 3, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eliav | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Fly Away Birdie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gump | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honey Parade | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catch Me If U Can | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bizness Beauty | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Retreiving | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honor Run | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Class Won | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fast Getaway | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | La Maquina Gris | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Comeoncomeoncat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dedicated | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | La Cat Warrior | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | McErin | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heldatgunpoint | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Clear | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charnley River (AUS) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scatsuku | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be Gone Daddy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Source Control | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Munnys | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moses Supposes | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dealin’ Stelen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Complexity | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Southern Phantom | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Stock Chain | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Binary | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King for a Day | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Azrael | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harvey Wallbanger | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deep Sea | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Joy Drive | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Full Salute | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperatore | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockford | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bitumen | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Win With Pride | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Elenzee | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jimbo Five | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dominant Strategy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kulin Rock | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looking Ready | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honey Dont | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gosilently | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Conscripted | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Danny California | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | There Goes Ben | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Here Comes Jackie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Seventh Planet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toy Moon | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace Corps | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seek and Destroy | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bacchanalia | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princesa Carolina | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bambalina | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Teletype | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Jean Kitten | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s a Black Belt | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Freud’s Affair | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Call Me a Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Mission | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Barely Impazible | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charlie McCoy | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kerry Boy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sicilia Mike | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Neverindicted | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wild Colonial Boy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Presence of Mind | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Colonel | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Attitude | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Four Knights | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bootlegger (FR) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pocket Player | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Dow | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ten Eyck | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Won’t Be Missed | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jegos Fire | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whendowerunpappy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Long Night | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bernard Baruch H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Synchrony | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Voodoo Song | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inspector Lynley | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Projected (GB) | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forge (GB) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Qurbaan | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Hopeful S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nitrous | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sombeyay | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Maker | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mind Control | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thatwouldbegrand | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Date | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backtohisroots | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Spring Drama | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Super Mama | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Wild With Style | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Lady Camille | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crater Rim | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sardonyx | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Banks | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spiral Bound | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Handle With Care | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sunshine Gal | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sophie N | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Rising | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Low Is Laine | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Protect the King | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Wise Lady | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.