September 7, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Hussar | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Image | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Royalty | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’tbeboisterous | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zo Lo’s Lov | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Salvation | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hackleton | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montu | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always Never | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rafter One | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canada | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Particle of Energy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Wager | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bob’s Bad Boy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It Makes Sense | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invasion Looming | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Indian Trick | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Morning | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gleyber | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Mystery | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tut | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strictly Biz | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lingua Franca | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lincoln City | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tikkun Olam | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bully for Eric | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Point Piper | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beantown Boys | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exotic Ghost | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upper Room | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crown the Kitten | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kona Coast | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bow and Arrow | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Karma | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tomasino | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Ghetto | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louden’s Gray | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Love | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pick One | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Perfection | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Wine and Dine | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mason B | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King Abner | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Older Brother | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hardcore Troubador | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tanners Pride | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J T’s A. T. M. | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pamper Me Now | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Croissant | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spend It | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Giant | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pulpit’s Dirty Red | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Acclimate | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skagit River | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Affair | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold and Guns | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game of Roans | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Chadinator | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.