September 14, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stoneys Mr Cruiser | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Four Gaels | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Point | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baby Ice | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Shelly Ann | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Veiled Heat | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eurasia | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Pass | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Adore You | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bragging Rights | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get Yourself Home | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sapodilla | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garrulous Gal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Fair | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Complete Discreet | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gamezapper | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Captain Walker | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fandarel Dancer | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockin My Mojo | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel On the Run | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayne’s Pal | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valley Boy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ur All Playn Catch | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whirling | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Strike | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Smidge | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Online Request | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chickatini | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Country Road | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy the Juice | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Very Rare | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burn Me Twice | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Towards the Light | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Air Pocket | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ransomed | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Downstairs | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plastered | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Time Inc (ARG) | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Believe Indeed | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Award It | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Kendra | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ipray | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Todos Santos | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blondy’s Reward | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lob City | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Maker | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ryder’s Starlight | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.