Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 15, 2018

September 15, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Etruscan 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Swivel 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Its All Relevant 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sparty Boy 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Orpheus (ARG) 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Cody’s Notes 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Pakhet 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Multi Strategy 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Heroic Activist 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jasminum 8.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Elite Mom 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Take Ten 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Whyisshesoolucky 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Hand Rail 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Here Comes Jackie 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 I’llhandalthecash 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Entrez Encore 20.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 Keeneasabean 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Harley Q 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Caralicious 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Posse’s Number 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Freddymo Factor 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Plink Freud 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Itsakeyper 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Eighty Seven North 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Trumpit 8.00 SCRATCH
15 8 Jot 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 3 Mike’s Girl 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 1 Corey Scores 3.50 3.2 6-1
12 5 Aquariva 8.00 4.9 9-1
14 7 Ruvies in Time 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 2 Rare Gift 10.00 5.5 10-1
13 6 Call It a Truce 8.00 6.1 11-1
10 4 Little Big Risk 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Courageous Queen 1.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Malarkey 3.50 3.4 7-1
3 3 Tayler’s the Boss 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Simona 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Solitary Gem 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Cathy Naz 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Eight Minute Ellie 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Rapid Route 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Blushing Justine 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Catsoutofthebag 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fierce Scarlett 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Oceans of Love 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Brooke Marie 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Musical Lute 12.00 5 10-1
8 8 Black Dynamite 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 On the Town 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Moving Moon (IRE) 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Dizzy 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Bramble Bay 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Retro Street 30.00 7.4 14-1
12 11 Nymphesa (GER) 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wild Colonial Boy 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Mango M 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Gambler’s Fallacy 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 New Jersey John 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ides of Arch 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Stormy Highway 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Steelersfanforlife 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Accolade 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 American Ninja 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Palladian Bridge 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Ascot Walk 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Curiousncuriouser 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Pink Sands 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Stormy’s Song 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Tiznow’s Smile 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Volodina 10.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Canny 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Arch of Troy 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Grandpa’s Arianna 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Blue Atlas 6.00 SCRATCH
7 3 Enthusiastic Gal 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 4 Cruisewithbrandon 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 B Three 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Peaches and Spice 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sands Point S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capla Temptress (IRE) 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Barkaa (FR) 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Colonia (FR) 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Californiagoldrush 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Reversethedecision 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Secret Message 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Victorine (FR) 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Shadan (FR) 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Held Accountable 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Beautiful Buzz 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Our Girl Abby 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Karen’s Gem 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Timeless Beauty 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Tee Up 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Reata’s Reward 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Elizabeth Nicole 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Shanghai Glory 15.00 7 13-1
10 9 Mercurian 20.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Monday Woman's World Cup Soccer
Begins Mon, Jun 17 12:00 PM ET
Monday Parx Racing
Begins Mon, Jun 17 12:55 PM ET
Monday Delaware Park
Begins Mon, Jun 17 1:15 PM ET
Monday Copa America Soccer
Begins Mon, Jun 17 7:00 PM ET
Monday Gold Cup Soccer
Begins Mon, Jun 17 7:00 PM ET
Monday MLB Baseball
Begins Mon, Jun 17 7:05 PM ET
Tuesday Woman's World Cup Soccer
Begins Tue, Jun 18 3:00 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
NBA Basketball
8:00 PM ET
Golden State Warriors
Toronto Raptors
Details
WNBA Basketball
Final
Seattle Storm 67
Connecticut Sun 81
Details
World - Int. Friendly Games
Full Time
Algeria 3
Mali 2
Details
World - Int. Friendly Games
Full Time
Senegal 1
Nigeria 0
Details
World - Int. Friendly Games
Full Time
Egypt 3
Guinea 1
Details
World - Int. Friendly Games
Full Time
Morocco 2
Zambia 3
Details
South America - Copa América
Full Time
Paraguay 2
Qatar 2
Details
South America - Copa América
Full Time
Uruguay 4
Ecuador 0
Details
MLB Baseball
Final
Chicago Cubs 2
Los Angeles Dodgers 3
Details
North & Central America - CONCACAF Gold Cup
Full Time
Haiti 2
Bermuda 1
Details
Go to Scoreboard