Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 15, 2018

September 15, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shanghai Check 0.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 The Carlbrook Kid 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Shock Treatment 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Billyjeansmyboy 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Hay Boy 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Infuriated 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Little Vinnie 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Artistic Drifter 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Vegas Strip 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Little Jimmy 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Gourmet Delight 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 You’re No Saint 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Only You 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Dimension 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scarfree 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Royalaspen 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 Aussie Mist 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Not Leaving 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Nikki’s Bad 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Chessen 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Offlee Optimistic 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wildcatpleasures 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Springers Point 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Kraken Glacken 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 5 Doddsprivatelabel 1.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Noble Kent 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 3 Master Yank 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 4 The Morning Guys 4.50 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2X 9 Corsario 5.00 SCRATCH
2 6 Informality 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 2 Flashonforty 3.50 3.4 7-1
6 5 Gran Fortress 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 3 Extrasexymazzerati 8.00 3.9 7-1
1A 8 Insider 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Southern Kisses 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Tommy’s Top Cat 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 1 Kion 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 9 Imvros Pride 10.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Curtis 2.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Klaatu 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Bird of Trey 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Prize Fight 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Quality Asset 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Stoneville 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Your Secret’s Safe 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Controlled Fury 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 8 Guaranteed 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Winter’s Gift 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Abets Abet 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mother Ginger 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Expressly 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Viva Forever 1.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Lil Miss Hotshot 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Case Dismissed 12.00 4 8-1
7 5 Ignite 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Roamin Rachael S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Squan’s Kingdom 10.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Bertranda 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 She’s Stunning 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Jessica Krupnick 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 6 Liz’s Cable Girl 2.00 3.2 6-1
1A 5 La Key 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Risque’s Diamond 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Yorkiepoo Princess 6.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Saratoga Tommy 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Mischief Night 5.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Jo Sho 1.40 2.3 4-1
1 4 Kowboy Kenny 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 C J’s Poet 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Soul Revival 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Match the Pot 10.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Fairly Bold 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 De Punta a Punta 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 I’m Truly Blessed 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Fist of Thor 30.00 7.8 15-1
11 10 Cpt. Playboy 30.00 8.7 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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