Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 15, 2018

September 15, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spirit of York 0.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sharp Brew 0.00 4 7-1
3 3 Silent Empire 0.00 4 8-1
2 2 Stroke of Luck 0.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Mo Gee 0.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Argentium 0.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Full Extreme 0.00 6 11-1
6 6 Silent Blaze 0.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Cheek to Cheek 0.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sledgehammer 0.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 A Mi Dat 0.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Draxhall 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Harmony Hall 0.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Silencium 0.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Wiley O’Rielly 0.00 6 11-1
7 6 Just Run With It 0.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 Dun Drum 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Wild N Ready 0.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Vivacitas 0.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 One for Nicki 0.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Fashion Brand 0.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Dynatown 0.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Desert Isle 0.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Strike It Royal 0.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Lonhro’scollection 0.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Narrow Escape 0.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Amberwood 0.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Peppered 0.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Divine Dance 0.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Nature’s Fortune 0.00 5 9-1
6 6 Say the Word 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Tale of Vienna 0.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Armament 0.00 7 13-1
9 9 Pawnbroker 0.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glacier 0.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 San Nicola Thunder 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Circle of Friends 0.00 4 8-1
2 2 Lokinforpursemonee 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rexton 0.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Marten River 0.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Dragon’s Cry 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sweet Briar Too S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonlit Promise 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Silent Sonet 0.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Code Warrior 0.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Malibu Bonnie 0.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Victory to Victory 0.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Answer My Call 0.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Sister Nation 0.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Just Be Kind 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alice’s War 0.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Lisa’s Escarpment 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mystic Nile 0.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Dreams Are Free 0.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Power Empire (JPN) 0.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Stormy Summer 0.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Bridlewise 0.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Now Play Nice 0.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ricoh Woodbine Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Delta Prince 0.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Good Samaritan 0.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 La Sardane (FR) 0.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Mr Havercamp 0.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Oscar Performance 0.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Vanish 0.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Divisidero 0.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Lord Glitters (FR) 0.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Stormy Antarctic (GB) 0.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Canadian S. Presented By The Japan Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Daring Duchess 0.00 3.1 6-1
5 3 New Money Honey 0.00 4 8-1
6 4 Starship Jubilee 0.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Inflexibility 0.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mythical Mission 0.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Niigon’s Eclipse 0.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Hallie Belle 0.00 5.3 10-1
7 5 Bletchley (GB) 0.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Bold Venture S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pink Lloyd 0.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sweet Grass Creek 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Loose On the Town 0.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sable Island 0.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Kingsport 0.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Boreal Spirit 0.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Battle in Seattle (FR) 0.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 0.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Sweet Little Man 0.00 6.9 13-1
9 8 Yorkton 0.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Northern Dancer Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mekhtaal (GB) 0.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Markitoff 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Johnny Bear 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Utmost 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Hawkbill 0.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Tiz a Slam 0.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Patterson Cross 0.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Seeking Albert 0.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 English Illusion 0.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Vexatious 0.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sky Vision 0.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Agosta 0.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Silent Consort 0.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Mizzona 0.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Megalin Candy 0.00 6 11-1
4 4 Molinaro Deputy 0.00 6.1 12-1
11 10 Under Lock and Key 0.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Ready’s Princess 0.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Oculist 0.00 7.7 15-1
14 14 Shez a Ten I Know 0.00 8.8 17-1
13 12 Alert Kitten 0.00 9.1 17-1
9 8 Early Ringaling 0.00 9.7 18-1
10 9 Scarlet Bow 0.00 9.9 19-1
12 11 Bella’s Storm 0.00 10.4 20-1
15 13 Igotyurgrasshopper 0.00 12.9 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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