September 18, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Pi | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prosperity Gal | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Song of Joy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Loca Sophia | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anotherrayofhope | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hadituptohere | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bennyluvspoker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Brockton George | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get the W | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Iron | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Best Choice | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Blessing | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vow’s Son | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Trousseau | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Powder | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Had Enough | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Nena de Papa | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River Miss | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Meeting | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Factor This In | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Redneck Cowboy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Musical Comedy | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fillet of Sole | 0.20 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ironbound | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Prosperity | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caniform | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Cool | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elnath | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Include Gold | 1.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twofour Six Oh One | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love You Babe | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marnesia Big Girl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our First Candy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catburt | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Capt. Grider | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Circuit Judge | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shane’s Jewel | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing My Halo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrecife | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Disruptor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tempestuous Angel | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | True Upgrade | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | How Sweep It Is | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talia Doll | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Babe | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strega Nonna | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iwasbornawinner | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lorden’s Love | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Symphony of Love | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Buck | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grey Harmony | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Teflon Tony | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Storm Factor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Any Sugar Honey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Averyon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smart Royal T | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | The Want of a Nail | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jw’strickymischief | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnightcharly | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Sperry | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amblin Man | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strawberry Red | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kook’s Kat | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lunar Rover | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | El Potro | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Final Ritual | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prodigious | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Draxhall Woods | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Cat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collin’s Smile | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Bruce Edwin | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.