September 20, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | We Will Re Joyce | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myrcella | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atrevida | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swallows Inn Gal | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiefs Lil Pearl | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Juliet | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Street to Indy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bank Walker | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Fury | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Magic | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Blanco | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Git On Your Pulpit | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dude’s Dude | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Gusto | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Fifty Coup | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Haydens Havoc | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vantastic | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weekly Call | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Platinum Nights | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Norski | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | C. C. Zipp | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Sophie | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Revenue Virginius | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Powder | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Wine Untasted | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be a Lady | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dominating Woman | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Life’s Blessings | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rooms | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizway That Way | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Dance | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Handsome John | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay in Yo Lane | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peter Alan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Belong to Becky | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Principe Carlo | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Calder Vale | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonsail Treasure | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Punk | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nutty Sierra | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bob’s Sniper | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gone Skyward | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Finish | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coco Kisses | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Sassy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Ma Neri | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocketann | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monaco Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Envy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slew the Waters | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 98 | Mystic Grey | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eleazar Warrior | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Clifton Beach | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chocolate Mess | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | For a Good Cause | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Billy the Hott | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Serve Me a Double | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | E Bradley Cooper | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Wally | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Chadinator | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sonic Boy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Crimson Charger | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.