September 21, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lolly Express | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gringo Star | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colormemoney | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhettbutler | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocinante | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zippy Groom | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Glory | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preacher Roe | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormin Monarcho | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Above Board | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Americain | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pappou | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Hit Play | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oracle of Omaha | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jonathantoquick | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laucala Island | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectator’s Dream | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You Must Chill | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Melody | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Diva | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Complete Discreet | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Ebony Star | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheese | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Haughty | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa’s Lady | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thames Valley | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | As a Rule | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Coalinga Hills | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharona Sunset | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Spark | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Rahy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashin Ashen | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Annitasheaven | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Audubon | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inland Empire | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lethal Legacy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelina’s Heaven | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Slew | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fellina | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Treat | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Opportunist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Solid Wager | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Show Me Da Lute | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gain Ground | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mercer Island | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fight On | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Out Blitz | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awepollonia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Depende de Ti | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rolinga | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Daddy’s Mistress | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Coilette | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Disco Tale | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | In the Spotlight | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Gracie Belle | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Blew by You | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Branjammas Cinco | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tiny Tap | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.