September 22, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Discrete Stevie B | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Madame Vestal | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Andyoushallreceive | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shes All Woman | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Diosa | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bev’s Humor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clare’s Glare | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Fiftyeight Special | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jabber Now | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Venice | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bedford | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cheyenne Dancer | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grandma Gertrude | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s a Hot Head | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sky Babe | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Daddy’s Mistress | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rolinga | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Carmelita | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Win Win | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Rod Gal | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yep Yep Yep | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kathia | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Never | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaluhla | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thankful Every Day | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mason B | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Ready to Roll | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Twitterati | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Plan B | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Image | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awepollonia | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Becky | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gee Cee Cee | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maycausemiracles | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Willow | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Lilly | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Barretts Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seven Scents | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Mandate | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galilean | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Silver Oak | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Koil | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Impression | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Captain Walker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Louden’s Gray | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rule He Will | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red Wine and Dine | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | St. Reno | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tomasino | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Demonslayer | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Braddock | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Avanti Bello | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kristi’s Copilot | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Just Kidding | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Senator Robert | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Air Pocket | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Farmer | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Aberdeen Island | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Crossing | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Cowgirl | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trappiza | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Nicole | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bahama Mama | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solar Corona | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heloise | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grecian Fort | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chapis | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.