September 23, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vouvray | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tapete Claire | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kittian Hill | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Gal Run | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Dirty Girl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Clue | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quaker Maid | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fend for Yourself | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zero Zee | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Queen | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Act | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect State | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hand Me the Cash | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friends Talk | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Diamonds | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can You See Me | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All This Jazz | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Cotton Rose | 0.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wiggle It Jiggleit | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shes a Head Turner | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Mily | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gucciguccigirl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Piki Piki Girl | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Stalwart | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riomar | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Inca | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Expect an Entry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chief Bow No Move | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bienville Street | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heidi Ho | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tropiclikeitshot | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Credit | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All About Stella | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heir Time | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tri Delta Bae | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Lady | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distinct Approval | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Erin’s Gone Astray | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Buzz | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rosas for Jimmy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Felon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Town Jak | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Karas | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gem Juan | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | For the Road | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Leonardo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Pochollo | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caramel Martini | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gioielli | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Publicist | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Princess Ariel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pure One | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Pop’s Irish Rose | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Steelin Magnolias | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Callie California | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Anabella Queen | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tropicality | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Four K’s | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | My Little Princess | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Playon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cafe Du Monde | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Geonosis | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Entree | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Grace | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Exception | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gladiator King | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Si Es Goya | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | She Takes Heart | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Too Much Tip | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Worth Avenue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Vendita | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes I’ll Go | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Notapradaprice | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bones | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fashionably Wild | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thinkin Cowtown | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Or Love | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Christina | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Evita Capitana (ARG) | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Faith N Hope | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Love | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Time Will Tell | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Wildcat | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fueledbydrama | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scotuscare | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dark as Midnight | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dreaming of J C | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coal Miners Son | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seventyseven Stone | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Fledermaus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mon Chevalier | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Davids Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Epic Love | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King’s Dream | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Osvaldo | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | El Commendatore | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Triple Serious | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Calypso Deep | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sac | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | El Emanuel | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy’s Quick Image | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.