September 23, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Satrapa | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cayate | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bless His Heart | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldie’s Hills | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Storm | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Duo | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Holidayincambodia | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scathing | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Family Rules | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blooming Hannah | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anamontana | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockantharos | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Pegasus | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nova | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Towards the Light | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kenny Benny | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Love | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Reverend Al | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sterling Wager | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crown the Kitten | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Opportunist | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Very Very Stella | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arch Prince | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muchos Besos | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Waun | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quantum Force | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chrisiscookin | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourque | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Your Life | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Particle of Energy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin My Mojo | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock N Doc | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Crook | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hedoesitinstyle | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Many Treats | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spend It | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Mission | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Welldidyougetit | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | June Two Four | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Minister | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Affair | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skagit River | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alphadar | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indy’s Outlaw | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Herunbridledpower | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Garrulous Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Lucky Student | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kristie’s Heart | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy’s Rule | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Prophetinparadise | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Adios Cali | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Parasail | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asem | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Belligerent | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tough But Nice | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ninety Nine Proof | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Abner | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaymin | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire When Ready | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Wager | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love My Bud | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold At Night | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Wonderful Lie | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emmy and I | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Kendra | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Issue | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magicalchic | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ciao Luna | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Funny Bean | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Impeachment Ace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Powerful Thirst | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Iron Curtain | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Johnny Ray | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Captain N. Barron | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Friendly Steve | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Snazzy Dresser | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jonas | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Head of the Line | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scorpio | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Calie View | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tandy’s Big Sky | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.