September 30, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cm Woody Blue | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excessive Jubilation | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Babybluedash | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jr Dasher | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Hiclassboots | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Radiant Dash | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mayitas First | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ima Five Bar Cartel | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Er Cartel | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Loosin My Lover | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Juan Funnybunny | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Js Wildchick | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bigtime Trouble | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stolis Royal Rebel | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bunnys Best Advise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | El Moro Prieto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Papa Dan | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Okey Dokey Road | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flyin Fierce | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Jes Tex | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | El Guapo Enano | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fierce Hawk | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | L Bar D Genuinewendy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ms Red Ransom | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hes a Bugin | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chicks Fast Farley | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eyes Movin | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Megatron Ruler | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C J Terror | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hyho Travio | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quattro Dude | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flyin Rocks | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tilltheluvrunsout | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milady’s Secret | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aphiemi | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excess R E | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edie Wiggins | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alltheway Heather | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roamin Effort | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papawasarollnstone | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Caliber | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catchthewoodnapper | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stay in Power | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Beat | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wings of Wisdom | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mike Man’s Bro | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ridgefield Rocket | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Bae | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie’s Reward | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outdidya | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coming in Hot | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hart Mountain | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Inaugural H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | So Lucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Grinder Sparksaglo | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Papa Frank | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cody’s Choice | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cantchaco | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westley | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Press | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gravel | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Flash | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Guzzlingin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mobius | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s My Voucher | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Wood Force | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Assets Included | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Terrello | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Gawain | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Epic Cast | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Tub | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magarita Man | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.