October 2, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Survivingthestorm |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vintastic |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pepper Sharp |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Screamin Demon |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kalamaity Gem |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Romeoinbluejeans |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cruisin On |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fay Belle |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Informant |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rockport Birdie |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jilas Lil Swing |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stately Command |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tee Time Mary |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dakota’s Tango |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Staracrossthewater |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saphireanfadedjenz |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Meanee |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aphrodities Kiss |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Bitty Cher |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Weave |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
My Pal Sully |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Alaskan Cruise |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bullet Express |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chu and I |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eighteencharacters |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dee’s Luck |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
One Hot Vision |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Gabe’s Pride |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uptownfreddybrown |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crimson Warlock |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Macho Marini |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Woody’s Folly |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
I’lbeamonkeysuncle |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
I B Tanner |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Always Outnumberd |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Peaceful Presence |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
She’smusictomyears |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mean Like My Momma |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Champelina |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Diana’s Red Wine |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Parkers Rose |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mariana Grace |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Foolstone |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Astounding Abby |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Come Find Me |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rallying Market |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hunters Vow |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Empire Ruler |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Affluent Asset |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Justa Gusta |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Murmansk |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Studhammer |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hunterwood Point |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shot of Reality |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Briana Jean |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mary Lois |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pre Mo Diamond |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wild Derby Daze |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sea Harbor Go |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mnmsuncorked |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tybee Island |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
My Boy Rudy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Beefcake |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Fear of the Cat |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Bobbygenesjustice |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
1 |
Yossi |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Kendini |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Gambling Streak |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
He’s Gatsby |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
To Go Cup |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cowboy Swagger |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Alto Hombre |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royal Knight |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Misunderstood |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Trojan the Wildcat |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boston’s War Whoop |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Time to Fire |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
C Me Roar |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.