October 12, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Matters | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Argonne | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Propagate | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5B | 5 | Hierarchy | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4B | 1 | Sargeant Drive | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6A | 2 | Zealous | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Strategic Outlook | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Okeamo | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Suremoney | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Over Salty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7B | 7 | Golden Sequence | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Raging Fire | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Back of the Watch | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Hitter | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Devilry | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abominable Snowman | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Theresa’s Boy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6B | 5 | Flat Out Jayvien | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9A | 6 | Trinni Juice | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Royal Asset | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Frisky Magician | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mascarello | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Catch a Cab | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | H Man | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Honor Up | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Ghost Giant | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ostrolenka | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Zealous | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Tribecca | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Crocheron Kid | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | We Should Talk | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Novus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Trick | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ravage | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Ding Dong Ditch | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Metaphorical | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call the Cat | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Love Nest | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Proximate to Power | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tiraboschi | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Under the Graydar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | You’re Killin Me | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Night | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reed Kan | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regalian | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimateenticement | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mad Munnys | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mutakaamil | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortin Hill | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starting Point | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Family Biz | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sneakiness | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spindletop | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Another | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Compagno | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Leaveematthegate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chateau de Vizille | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Sigh | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morrison | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunaire | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Dr. Shane | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9A | 5 | Single Gem | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trustworthy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Consensus Thinking | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Singapore Trader | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Potomac | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dark N Cloudy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Side | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expert | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bon Raison | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Canny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Giant Ending | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Enthusiastic Gal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Discreet Image | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lady Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | B Three | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Courageous Change | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | No Hayne No Gayne | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Arch of Troy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 15A | 7 | My Girl Annie | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Questeq | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Salty Smile | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Mercurian | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Caoimhe | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.