October 17, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Proper Romance |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Blue Houdini |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Irish Goodbye |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Colonel’s Pride |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
R. V.’s Express |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
French Command |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Delicious |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Louisiana Lion |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Simba’s Pride |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
First to Score |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Campus Leader |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Penny Coin Toss |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Perfect Giant |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Angel d’Oro |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silver’s Swan Song |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pretty Production |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fuhr a Slam |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Victory Seeker |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hunky Dory |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whitebutton |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
She’s Undawnted |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
That’s a Song |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Custom for Corales |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Honest Smile |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Toga Dance |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Waft |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Majino |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zarb’s Winnie |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Toshita Forever |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
French Roast |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strong Argument |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Delightful Soul |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Last Bullet |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bulletsandbourbon |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Emery’s Dream |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Lucky Lydgate |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Meraki |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Raising a Star |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Wildcat Friendship |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bluegrass Punch |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Primary Patrick |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ben’s Magic Stone |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Stihl Harbor |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
G. A. Betting |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mundo Mutadda |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bitsy’s Half |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Man of Bethel |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Sharp Memories |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
I’ll Raise You |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Onarock |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brutalize |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ronda’s Custom |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Buckets |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sir Etney John |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dancing Bow |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Effies Lil Man |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Best Little Man |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cowboy Ridge |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Song and a G |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lookout Mountain |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Off Cycle |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Desert Madam |
1.60 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Miss Sid N Say |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Charzee Baby |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Shea’s Lil Shug |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Wild Appointment |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Best Guess |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Camrynsbigtimebaby |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Rebel Gentleman |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Witch Hunt |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Darylslittleengine |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jobay |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cale’s Gold |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
It’s Mike’s Turn |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Steppin’ Outonher |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
D’money Honey |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mighty Intimidator |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Buxton Boy |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gary |
12.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Charlie’s Schiller |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Cap Rock Miner |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Where Y’at Joe Joe |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shane Doan |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Celerity |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Back Stage Boy |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Luke’s Cajun Star |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heartsetsmeonfire |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mistake Present |
8.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stormin Away |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stand and Cheer |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Personal Double |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kehron’s Creed |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Cinnamon Diva |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Blue Suade Guitar |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thegrayspider |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Bionic Butterfly |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Runaway Romance |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Toodaloo to You |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blessed Bloom |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Waitin On the Gold |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Wildcat Springs |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
10 |
Kodiak Sky |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
9 |
Bevos Winch |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
A Flash of Copper |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Social Cat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
My Man Unk |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Nomo Ron |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dr. Boehrer |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flashy Brew |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord Colliery |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gin and Jag |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flashyboy Bobb |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smooth Current |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rahfees Man |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Easter Snap |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.