October 18, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Legion Storm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Escape | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Constant Knight | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chasindamoney | 1.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Causforcelebration | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Siggylongstockings | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wild William | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kavansberg | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shadesofbrilliance | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gia Michael | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Elizabeth Nicole | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Letthemooseloose | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mahabodhi Tree | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caoimhe | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moment of Triumph | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Polar Jet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Have Another | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ajnadeen | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sharpe and Ready | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lazarus Project | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9B | 9 | Mr. Yabo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Straitouta Congtin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Millies Party Boy | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shamrock Kid | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Testy Kitten | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time Expired | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Looking At U Kid | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Local Edition | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Man of Chrome | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10B | 8 | Noble Behavior | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Simbasalltrouble | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | New Stones | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong One | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wisecrack | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tordito’s Bank | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Fitz | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Snidely | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13A | 13 | California Night | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Action | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Terrible Day (ARG) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dooley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | O Shea Can U See | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 4 | Fuel the Bern | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mohican | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Hangman | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Devine Entry | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Whatstotalkabout | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Japonski | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Rappel | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Baseline | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Richie’slilwildcat | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Naples Legacy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mo Flash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Karen’s Gem | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Bramble Queen | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Terrabyte | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sheputaspellonme | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blissful Breeze | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Theodosia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Life Time Citizen | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stoney Bennett | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Shiraz | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Syndergaard | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavy Meddle | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sudden Surprise | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Arthur’s Hope | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bluegrass Express | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Blue Belt | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bold Thunder | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Expected Ruler | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Asset | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Force | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Field of Courage | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frisky Magician | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Catch a Cab | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Excluded | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Benefactor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shamcat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.