October 18, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sawyers Gray Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cheryl’s Copy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Hotsy Dotsy | 1.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uknowiaintlying | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sophie’s Illusion | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gio Point | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Coco Honey | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | We Girls Rule | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sparkling Red Jet | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Racy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Exton | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Silver Pins | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Carmelized | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Titanium Bill | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Em C | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ida’s Warrior | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theycalledhimbig | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Greeley | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tin Roof Rusted | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Our Motive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Aticketforwill | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drewtempo | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kubo Cat | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Babyface Ransom | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six Grand | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No More for U | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jacobs Flyer | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joemo | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scissor Bill | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Some of Merit | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Miss Katniss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sizzle Factor | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizmyday | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moment of Grace | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Careless Whisper | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Sister | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salute My Lady | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skipadee Due Da | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Ready | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queezee Proud | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Town Surprise | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Laneys Love | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Varlebena | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Distinct Flirt | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Woman | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glory Daze | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galaxy Girl | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Suede Ransom | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Naughty Me | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chiles Legacy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Louisiane | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kris Stormin Free | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Shaboxxo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Charlie’s Affair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Union Salute | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yeowzer | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arkansas Martini | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Erik the Red | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Krafty Boy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drewsizzle | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King’s Share | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sun and Sand | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pilot House | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Leroy Herman | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Jaded Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Elegant Idea | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sammie’s Touch | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scottish Bu | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twilight Star | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Wind | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gg’s Gracefulgabby | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Chrome | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bizzarrini | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shy Ruston | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tamy’s Shot | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heaven’s Devil | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Delaware Basin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Alex’s Turn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sheer Mayhem | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exigent | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Anne | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bentonville | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Binder | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Graceful | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatdatpay Ray | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Due Apeal | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monsieur Brown | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shakopee Town | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pi | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inspeightof | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | N. D. Free | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bernadettes Vision | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honest Victory | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indygo Rocket | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Her Great Grandpa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Victorious Gold | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Our Diamond | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speak Briley | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cadillac Magic | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Song for Heddings | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allstar Superstar | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Spirit | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Cinderella | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blazing Sensation | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dynabullet | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scarlet’s Causeway | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.