October 19, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Requisite | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Looking for Bull | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gus’s Tizzy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stuck in Vegas | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zipzaptime | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | And Yet Another | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ibeam | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Our Richter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nelly Relly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Star of Kobol | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nile Show | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seaside Surprise | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Pants Susie | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat’s Hit | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baby B Gone | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gone Pecan | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smell the Rain | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Abbie’s Parade | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Poker Fever Gal | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Irish Hustle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Double Clutchin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Onetwomanyrockets | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Hands | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angeles | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Willow | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fugitive Lady | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adieu Mallory | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Manassas | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Snowball | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Jen | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gottabegolden | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Alpha Bravo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Purest Pleasure | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hardly Seen Slim | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nastida Mast | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Adrian Run | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saved At Sea | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Personal Conflict | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nasty Critter | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weidenbachers Gent | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clancy’s Pepper | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Andy Man | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dewey’s Bull | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Wise Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Myblendofwhisky | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calimor | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swinging Greeley | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Colliery | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theboyzdelight | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Song for Arch | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | County Coroner | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rebel Gentleman | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love to Singh | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bayou Bode | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blarney | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Gig | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Down Bob | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whoajoey | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That’s D ‘cat | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Etbauer’s Ide | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singing Aces | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockin Rusty Rue | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Storm Coming | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sandana Heat | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – My Trusty Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Taylor’s Spirit | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Conscious | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Girl Rocket | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cover Charge | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eskendar | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flatoutandfoxy | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Regatta | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Ruby Sioux | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Coast of La | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Its a Journey | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Americium | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Native Princess | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | P Boo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liam’s World | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | How Sweet It Is | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Another Level | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kiss That Dude | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Magnolia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Coast of La | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Remember Daisy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Pink | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Blessing | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yes Gorgeous | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hyper Piper | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sashimi Blaster | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Alexandra | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | P Boo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Safari Calamari | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Fleet Halo | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Toga Dance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | All Spiced Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Liz’s Legend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alys Grand | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Velleity | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flat Out Big Money | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becky’s Dude | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | All About the Gray | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | You Could Be Mine | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Harlans Warrior | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Milagros | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | She’s Ours | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.