October 20, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tiz One Fee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Casual Cool | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Salute Elle | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Katie’s Jewel | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Launchabind | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theboyzgalaxy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Queen | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Heiress | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Giant | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz de Lovely | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kipling Miss | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frisky Breeze | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Scoot Too | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Freeontechnicality | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Black Justice | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chuck’s Quest | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Over Priced | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lougarou | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Confederate Yell | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Production | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mack’s Champ | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Pancho | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Pichongo | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Andy’s Production | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | King Bayou | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ryder Rocket | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Crocodile Jacques | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Natealyze | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simply Gucci | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m d’Cat | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Intuition | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Make Me Smile | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Beauty | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friend of Dubai | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Individual | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr. E Edwards | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Youcomehereoften | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kingpin Ruler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Allthewaywithtaye | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Man Behind the Bar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Robert’s Prince | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Insubordination | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flirtation Device | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Racer | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Slew | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gato Caliente | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tanq On the Rocks | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Believe in Us | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Moe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Salutetheprince | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Cal | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | So Sorry Ruston | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Killingit | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lip Service | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Montbrooks Miracle | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zarking | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devil’s Pay | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Diva’s Ransom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Half Sexy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fender Baby | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Green Lakes | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foxy Miss | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mill Falls | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Untethered Soul | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toga’s Margrock | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gladys’ Frontier | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sixteen Punches | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copper Lady | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jean Lafitte S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brother Richie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pickett | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ninth Street | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shotsoft | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cabo’s Rumor | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musada | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drew’s Shot | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Giant Mesa | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bobby Brown | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixieland Grand | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Genghis | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret House | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mocito Rojo | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellarmine | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exemplar | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Bandit | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Ruler | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Stormin | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Andy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Autumn Warrior | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Social Misfit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sir Genghis | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mageez | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grande Basin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Vow | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Underpressure | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queeten | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pound for Pound | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Harbor Pilot | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Mischief | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Corredor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I Run for Three | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Scarlettsblackjack | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cracker Jackson | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A. P.’s Prince | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colonial Front | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sizzlin Flyer | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Trickey Run | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Choose No More | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Doctor | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Ander | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whooz the King | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.