October 21, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simply a Zoomer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dancing Doll | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Never Sober | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Princess Fabiana | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’ll Take the Gold | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Another Time | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mo Cion Daonnan | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Noble Thought | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ault | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Best Bard | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Colton’s Corner | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Keen Gizmo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kaigun | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorgeous Kitten | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Roxy’s Vision | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Subliminal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rock You | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Factory | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Canuck | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leo the Rabbit | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yallhaveaniceday | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bracket Creep | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Switchblade | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Canmore | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heydon’s Case | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Makemineamanhattan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Other Breeze | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Silver | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cape Romance | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trebek | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trust in Silver | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory L. | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coolshade | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tahana | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Homefortheweekend | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Nomen | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Brock | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keep Your Word | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eboracum | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charles Street | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stop the Humbug | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show Me Your Spots | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oceans of Love | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frost Dance | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ka Gee Gee | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Planet | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Tillie | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Samarian | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soldier in Pink | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court Return | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trickeration | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Perfection | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Run to the Bank | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Money Talker | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Oakton | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Don Camillo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bear On Fire | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Speightstown Time | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Solution | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sniper | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Southern Greatness | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Telling You Twice | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Grey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nashtrick | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solidify | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jammin Still | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tripwire | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Winston | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inclusive | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Spanish River | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Daylight Breeze | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Dancer | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arthur’s Pass | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Phantom | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kapellmeister | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Express | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hines | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deesse Nike | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Epilogue | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crown Prince | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vaughan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | In View | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frobisher Bay | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Courting a Kiss | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of the Court | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dino Three O Nine | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Sahara | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Town Cruise | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | I’ll Take the Cake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alnilah | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Killag Katie | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love to Learn | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Street | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Springdetti | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stop Who’s That | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moka Latte | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | World Riot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Boogie With Me | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | I’m a Home Brew | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Giant Pulpit | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maisie | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wonnestrut | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Parade | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Review | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grand Oasis | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Blind | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cherokee Knight | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cinnamon Bear | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tall Boy Brew | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty d’Artagnan | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.