Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 21, 2018

October 21, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Simply a Zoomer 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Dancing Doll 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 5 Never Sober 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Princess Fabiana 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 I’ll Take the Gold 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Another Time 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Mo Cion Daonnan 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Noble Thought 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ault 10.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Best Bard 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 5 Colton’s Corner 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Keen Gizmo 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Kaigun 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gorgeous Kitten 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 Roxy’s Vision 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Subliminal 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rock You 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 War Factory 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Colonel Canuck 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Leo the Rabbit 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Yallhaveaniceday 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bracket Creep 12.00 5 9-1
8 7 Switchblade 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Canmore 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Heydon’s Case 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Makemineamanhattan 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 The Other Breeze 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Miracle Silver 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Cape Romance 4.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Trebek 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Trust in Silver 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Victory L. 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Coolshade 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tahana 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Homefortheweekend 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Roman Nomen 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Rolling Brock 3.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Keep Your Word 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Eboracum 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Charles Street 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Stop the Humbug 20.00 7.1 14-1
4 4 Show Me Your Spots 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Oceans of Love 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Frost Dance 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Ka Gee Gee 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Soul Planet 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Aunt Tillie 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Samarian 8.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Soldier in Pink 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Court Return 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Trickeration 20.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Golden Perfection 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Run to the Bank 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Money Talker 2.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Oakton 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Don Camillo 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Bear On Fire 5.00 4 8-1
6 5 Speightstown Time 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Kitten’s Solution 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Sniper 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 4 Southern Greatness 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Telling You Twice 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Grey S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nashtrick 1.60 2.1 4-1
8 8 Solidify 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Jammin Still 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tripwire 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sir Winston 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Inclusive 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Chuck Willis (IRE) 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Grimgrinnin’ Ghost 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Spanish River 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Daylight Breeze 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Macho Dancer 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Arthur’s Pass 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gray Phantom 4.50 4 8-1
11 10 Kapellmeister 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Spanish Express 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Hines 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Deesse Nike 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Epilogue 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Crown Prince 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vaughan 15.00 SCRATCH
8 7 In View 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Frobisher Bay 2.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 Courting a Kiss 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 King of the Court 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Dino Three O Nine 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Red Sahara 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Town Cruise 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Mambointheforest 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 I’ll Take the Cake 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Alnilah 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Killag Katie 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Love to Learn 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Beautiful Street 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Springdetti 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Stop Who’s That 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Moka Latte 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 World Riot 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Boogie With Me 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 I’m a Home Brew 12.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Giant Pulpit 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Maisie 3.00 2.8 5-1
11 10 Wonnestrut 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Stop the Parade 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Street Review 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Grand Oasis 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Big Blind 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Cherokee Knight 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Cinnamon Bear 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Tall Boy Brew 15.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Mighty d’Artagnan 30.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version