October 25, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fancy Mallory | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’wild Baroness | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weavemeawinr | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Steal | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elusive Pal | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watch My Steam | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | L. A. Ready | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Pretty Face | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Space Cowgirl | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Rae Rae | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Vicki | 1.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yonna She Goes | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Ava Claire | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wanna Snuggle | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Perdita | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maline | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Krisynsarasboy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Snoop Three Socks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Run Rocket | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Vision | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Motive | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Biermann | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Round Quarter | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | How About a Date | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jojogottago | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | V Cross Gripper | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flash of Pepper | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flash’s Adventure | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Active Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Penalty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Somethingroyal P | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Laura’s Pick | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Oleta Inez | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I Call | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Magic’s Gone | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | My Pal Em | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | She’s Got Moxy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Nelly Relly | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Commanding Action | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cool Deal | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Maestro Del Prado | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tuff Talkin Texan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saint Eduard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cratus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Runciman | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brush Whacker | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cachito | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Golden Drossel | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Louisiana Creole | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Itsa Flashmob | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Monie’s Man | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zinny’s Miracle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | E Porto | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Seaside Sergeant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Star Rocket | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss You Jo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Half of Tip Tap | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | John Hunt Morgan | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Nasty Time | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dorcheat Zarb | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Creek | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Pal Kay | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indulgences | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bud’s Mr. B | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Freakonthelead | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cap Rock Miner | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inspire Courage | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baires Boy | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy This | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Throwacross | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Left Coast Dreams | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Biblical Strength | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dujac | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack Be Quick | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My New Guiter | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frolic | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Charlie | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overthegardengate | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eye Craft | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shipmate | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Touch Me | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’screative | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Sweet Sydni | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rach’slastscarf | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Castle Zip | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Rae Rae | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Betty Grable Eyes | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Fern Doll | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy and Rich | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Katniss | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosada’s Rose | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ringneckdove | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Late Appointment | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rail | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Vidrine’s Choice | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mytoccetivesisters | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inseparable | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady King | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silk Shirt Johnnie | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fussy Cut | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Junes’s Choice | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Azuralee | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kelleri | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.