October 25, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Small Town Hero | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catanova | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shooters Alley | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildwood Dancer | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trappe Valley | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Fine Ride | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kate’s Golden Dude | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Land Battle | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Game | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keyed On Top | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strolling | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eternal Force | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ruthless Child | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Cause Libby Knows | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Celia’s Song | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lessons From Avery | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Twin Channel | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Homefieldadvantage | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warrior’s Path | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rushingirl | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Faith in Cathy | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Too Much Detail | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cape Kimbo | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Hello People | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Copus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bold Shot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Atta Kid | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Or Frippery | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tres Equis | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tachi | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ogee’s Ekati | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Galatasaray | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Foolish Beau | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chasingthegame | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rollin Smoke | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Snickerboxer | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Burnt Bluff | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cofveve | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Alibi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Raising the Flag | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cube | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youngin’ Fearless | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Rooster | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just Like Richie | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild About Candy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Commissioner Bolt | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Max Q | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Overanalyzfakenews | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Passion Play | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Grenadier | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Warrior’s Charge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Eskenforit | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boldor | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Steed | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeans n’ Boots | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Larceny | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Venture | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Thomas Shelby | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reelfoot | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Mesa | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Souixper Charger | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Not Now Rand | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Split the Wickets | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Arched Feather | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ghost Story | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Zumurudee | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Hardship | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Sahib | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Encyclopedia | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ecru | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Angel | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Armed for Battle | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hurry Back | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Thunder Mesa | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thirteen Songs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sister Nation | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Gypsy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nineteenth Street | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Malibu Stacy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mines and Magic | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thoughtless | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annathela | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grand Prix | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quick Release | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Molecules | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | French Empire | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bee Balm | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artistic Quality | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Serenade | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Roll | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Stormy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ajfan | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shezalemondropkid | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zee Ro Drop | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ballston | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tapitai | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shamal | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.