October 26, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smittys Eyecandy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bing’s d’Oro | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seattle Brew | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Easter Lily | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Causei’mwonderful | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Sister | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Creed | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cashmere Bliss | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yankee’s Fanny | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Is Too | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remember Daisy | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mila’s Gold | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swiftown Miss | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Guitar | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Argumentally Elle | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Love Davos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Fortune Got Even | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Double Clutchin | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Attitude Ajustment | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hey Zarby | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Siren | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fort Polk | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Emily’s Pegasus | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bloody Yankee | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heart of Soul | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Raising a Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Just Run Skiny Run | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Valse | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | K One Kobra | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Wild Dancer | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Udoknowjack | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halos Prayer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Red Cat | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grand Hoga | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chat Rat | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ravenel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Senorita Tapit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Irish Hustle | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Taylor | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Varlebena | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Color Fashioned | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verity Jane | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goodprofit | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speed too Tume | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cheer Me On | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokey Rose | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cheeper to Keeper | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Vicks First Pick | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | One Drop | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rollwithit | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artist by the Sea | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Ten | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Bucky | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Q’ Mark | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tentwelvefourteen | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run the Bank | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valid Prospector | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major Intimidation | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Darion’s Dream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Born to D’ Wild | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Starry Ide Elaine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Yes Babe | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | And She Scores | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hopette | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Double P’s Tavern | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ardesia | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Castalia Bella | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Guretta | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Skeeter | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Promise Tender | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Half Sexy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dance Till Two | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Behold the Queen | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catty Krys | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Echoesoftime | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flash N Go | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Band | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Boss Time Baby | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s Eternalflame | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Old Fashion Amour | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Battle Colors | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delaware Basin | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Marais | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Blessing | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbraided | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Wined Up | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Got Gold | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Bravo | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Callmechamp | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Big Count | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Star of Ruston | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pierpont | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Toga | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Max Our Man | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | D’dawson | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Emma’s Logic | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Waitnon Bob | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natalio | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Brylee’s Deelite | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Production Angel | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.