October 27, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Power Jet | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chroniqueur | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Bayou | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Varykino | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paynt Battle | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cade’s On the Bump | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie’sarchangel | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ryder Rocket | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Meshuga | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Valentine Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | D’money Honey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mile R Meaux | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hawks Peak | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul P Say | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Wisdom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valyrian | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Proper Decorum | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapster | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Guts No Glory | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bud’s Mr. B | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Raise You | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Thirtyeightcaliber | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comebackwilson | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G Cisive | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scrimmage | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mangelsen | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Lad | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sir Etney John | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Hero Pappy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prizeless | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wildcat Springs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blessed Bloom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Wekati | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girls Are the Best | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Year’s Party | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Becca’s Diamond | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Cecile | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Memory Magic | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Selene’s Argument | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Formula | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out Late | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strollin South | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Casual Cool | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jewels of Sorce | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fasten | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Doris | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blakes Happiness | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cookin | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Show’em the Heat | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky for Us | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Val’s Pal | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Word of the Day | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Ribbon Girl | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harvey’s Song | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Loretta | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fiji D | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asdrubal | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Yankee | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Golden Girl | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Launched Money | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockin Rah Rah | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Charge the Line | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s Schiller | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Prospector | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | General Tone | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Charge Halo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Much Class | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tammany Parkway | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kenai Star | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Moon | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pursuit of a Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Zackarooney | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | G’s Turn | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Madiba | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Mistake Present | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flying Honeypot | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flawless Forecast | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Irish Prospector | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sean | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Buggin Out | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stated Income | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cats Beauty | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Kylie | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skipadee Due Da | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Titanium Girl | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Doll | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alivia’s Lion | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Moronette | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Town Surprise | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | First Class Misty | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bayouland Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Time Key | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Rosebud | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keeping Time | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’sfullofwonder | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Blowin Your Mind | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Two J’s | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Karslyn | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sorcerer’s Bag | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Runforacure | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kohensrising | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.