October 27, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Raven Creek | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artie B Good | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Honor | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Italiano | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodwillambassador | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neighborhood Bully | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zestful | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spokane Eagle | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Tiger | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smuggler Union | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gringo Star | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Will Tell | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Michael Mundo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blackjackcat | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Law Abidin Citizen | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cistron | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Restrainedvengence | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mulzoff | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Handsome John | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mad Mike | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brix | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hammurabi’s Law | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Indi Luck | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultra Lucky | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bull Fighter | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tank Team | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Envelope | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Seam | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Matineigh Idol | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ostini | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zipper Mischief | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Buzzkill | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Hunted | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Single Me Out | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reckless Gravity | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamic Duo | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Caray | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Giant Influence | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sheer Flattery | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jimmy Chila | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Duper Cooper | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dreams of Valor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Asesino | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Morning | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Flatterme | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheza Chattykat | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zusha | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Autumn | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late ‘n Left | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Ebby | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cute Knows Cute | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kindred | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Acker | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Impression | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incredible Luck | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uber Star | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cats Blame | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buckstopper Kit | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Upper Room | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Alex | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zippy Groom | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Be It | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honeyfromthesouth | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Madame Vestal | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Posit | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fabulous Star | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Slewgoodtobetrue | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reachreachreach | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grateful Praise | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Kim | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Diamond | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn Isabella | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Alegria | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Autumn Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ms Bad Behavior | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toinette | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hey Negrita | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Streak of Luck | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Flammetta | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pulpit Rider | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spring Lily | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tesora | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rayya | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | West Palm Beach (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Movie Moment | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | K P Pergoliscious (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Streetwithnoname | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Hi Society (IRE) | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reverend Al | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Lambo Luxx | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | St. Reno | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ketos | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Louden’s Gray | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bitte | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Towards the Light | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tomasino | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Braddock | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.