October 31, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Given Grace |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Its Misty in Paris |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Top Ten Duchess |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beachy Attitude |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Timberline Lodge |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mallie Cramp |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Singmebackhome |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fanny Box |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Patsy Bee |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Inferno |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Seeking My Time |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Point of America |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Azaruk |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Landonese |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
Jersey Bullet |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Satellite |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
12 |
10 |
My Golden Tale |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
6 |
Chaosmos |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Lil Gabe |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
9 |
Twoshotsofcrown |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
5 |
Supersonicsong |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Calimambo |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
My Rainey Day |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Amphibian |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Hampton Roads |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Prince |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dream On Mister |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Production |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fazio |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fats |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Play’em Or Fold’em |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Saratoga Vacation |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Otto Parts |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Weknewuweretrouble |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bluegrass Punch |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Boston Bob |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Fist Full |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
J P of Galilee |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
War Anthem |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Lydgate |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kapenta |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Si Familia |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Captain Tyree |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Youve Got a Friend |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
Beau Gator |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Hot Wired |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Our Richter |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Tom and Ed’s Girl |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Much to Do |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
I’mwildaboutcarlos |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cool Kitty |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Creole Wildfire |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Carson’s Katie |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Unconventional |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Tator Tot |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Agirlnamedsyd |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Laura’s Pick |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
A P’s Winner |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Jill’s Smooth Air |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Late Nite Mischief |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hawkins Lane |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Exchange Gold |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tale of the Prince |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Far Out Time |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Enticing Shaq |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Easter Snap |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Solid Red |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grand Omega |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Strollin Spree |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Twilight Star |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Elle Les Yu |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moonlighting Majic |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Electric Kiss |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jaded Rose |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Doc’s Rocket |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Emily’s Entourage |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Jonesboro Polly |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Missbudlitetime |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Along Came Macey |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Nebulas |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
No Game for Sissys |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Quality Production |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Skylas Gold |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Born Again George |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Madelyn’s Wild Max |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Masterly |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
8 |
Smokin’ Truth |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Mallory’s Bandit |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
7 |
State Treasurer |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
6 |
Gentlemengentlemen |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
9 |
Wild Bert |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Patriot Father |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Burning Runner |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Colonial Power |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flashy Smile |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tooth |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zacksgotthis |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Bird |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Arctic Tribe |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Expectations |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stage Show |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
What a Shiner |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Forum Form |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Geaux Easy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Hugo’s Last Song |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Run to Fame |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Heaven’s Hideaway |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beaubouef |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alluring Actor |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Callmechamp |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Village |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kye’s Addycat |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Town Boss |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Corredor |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
I Run for Three |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.