November 2, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Brutalize |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Such |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Song and a G |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Truly Bling |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Halfourretirement |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amphibian |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greeley’s Banker |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Adrenaline |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caeus in Pasadena |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shae’s Day |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Voo Doo Doc |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ikon Who |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Half Fast Rose |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
J J Queen |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zyanara |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cause You Can |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sister Ashlee |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Five Star Nap |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Presli’s Argument |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Untuttable Speed |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Crider City |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
A Song for Sarah |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Supersport Sally |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fly Well |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Evon’s Galaxy |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bandit’s Deelite |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Granfathersleugirl |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brooklyn’s Grip |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiz the Faith |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
12 |
10 |
Sucre |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ms Sassy Speed |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mr Lexis |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Runnin Sky |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bob’s Gone Wild |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oriental Crown |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Storm Coming |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stanton C |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Scrutiny |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Perfect Parade |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
D’tuff Cat Rey |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
4 |
Geauxcro |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
B W P Express |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Slick Dude |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Roses n’ Rubies |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Giant Mesa |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Future Abundance |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Jimi’s a Star |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Eye Cloud |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hansen’s Showgirl |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Eight Grand |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Nilla |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Crescent Lace |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Helen Wheels |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sea Strollin |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Friendly and Kind |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
D’wild Irish Rose |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Anything But Amie |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Yella Wally Gator |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
D’or Fille |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Midge’s Magic |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Tiz One Fee |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Theboyzgalaxy |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Custom for Corales |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
Casual Cool |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Erik the Red |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Ty’s Agenda |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Crooked as Can Be |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shaboxxo |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
B Brazin |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dr. Zipcity |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Greeley’s Dealer |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Macandales |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charlie’s Affair |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ide Be Doc Adams |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tap That Word |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Meseta Diablo |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Man of Bethel |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
6 |
Actif One |
1.80 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1A |
5 |
Salutetheprince |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
7 |
Piranha Tough |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Noisey Boy |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
8 |
Run Bayou |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Maurice |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Burning Runner |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Jill’s Smooth Air |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Church of England |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Dr. Boehrer |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
A P’s Winner |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Catalogue |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord Colliery |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Our Bermuda |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
American Boy |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gin and Jag |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Colonel Soul |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
A Flash of Copper |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Talkothtown |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.