November 3, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alittlebitextra | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Angeles | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | D’freak Nasty | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gladee’s Gray Lady | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Timeformetofly | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy’s Song | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Noralee | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mardigras Gal | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harper Bee | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devilish Sound | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel d’Oro | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sophie’s Illusion | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver’s Swan Song | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shop Around Sue | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Pat Me Down | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Effies Lil Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dr Hesse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Speedactus | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Four Sevens | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Colfax | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Cookie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sournois | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Tuff to Cry | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Breather | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Heath | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Boston Flash | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Senorita Tapit | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Chalk | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pepper Blossom | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Cowgirl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stream | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laneys Love | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overly Sweet | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Irritator | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dewey’s Bull | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Garrison K | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Production | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heartsetsmeonfire | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lass Song | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Legendary Larry | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Betabearly | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Personal Double | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Weidenbachers Gent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rifle Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mickey | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meraki | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Senor Guitar | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hustle N Jive | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friend to Me | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andy Man | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fireman Isaac Max | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Personal Conflict | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mack’s Champ | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cool Production | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Walking in Faith | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Lewis | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Dude | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Confederate Yell | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Master | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freeontechnicality | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V Double U | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Over Priced | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Run Peck Run | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vicks First Pick | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Say Charlie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | About Our Time | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Prophet | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snapper Bite | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dion | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Wings | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Only Liquor | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildwood Dejavu | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reckless Ransom | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I Rate First | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Galaxy Builder | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bellarmine | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judge N Ruler | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Point Hope | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | True Emperor | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Zackarooney | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Bull | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aaron’s Bluff | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Five Small | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tonto M | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Dixie Beat | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Successful Story | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | I’m Formidable | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bear’s Big Boy | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | It’s Time to B | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Stick | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Masster Chief Ron | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ty’s Agenda | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.