November 7, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lukie (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mister Ander | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Zipzaptime | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mauk Power | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jimjeff | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Overlyappealing | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pinchout | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Aces Destiny | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hold Me Kat | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bad Investment | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pauley’s Star | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Choose No More | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star Gaze | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hunky Dory | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Viv | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Ava Claire | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suckerforagrey | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’s a Song | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stellar Magic | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Church of England | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Graceful Rules | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lookin At Clement | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Swagg | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taken Back | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Cane | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Makeithappen | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jill’s Smooth Air | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remember Me Pop | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Walter John | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Leg John | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Dad Louie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Beauty Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Clever Racer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tristan’s Dream | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Landing Man | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Correa | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Motorcycle Bobby | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Izzy B Winn | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Richter | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First to Score | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seaside Sergeant | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Youcomehereoften | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Debriyn | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flash’s Adventure | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Krisynsarasboy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Snoop Three Socks | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nobody | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elite Runner | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Six Grand | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Babyface Ransom | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Set Joe | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Ice | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Goodman | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Effies Lil Man | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Holy Belle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Quick Rae Rae | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wave of Perfection | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Shot | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Springs | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yours and Mine | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocking Shoes | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Rhea Run | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Star Formula | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Amore’s Prayer | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Green Lakes | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Darion’s Dream | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Open Forest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sizzle Factor | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poopsie Doopsie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Fleet | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Theyankeefuse | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Force | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Come On Nancy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Notional Star | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bizzarrini | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Conspicuous Woman | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Throwacross | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Watch My Smoke | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krafty Boy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Graceful | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | So Sorry Ruston | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One King Cat | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pinch Assault | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rollwithit | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fancy This | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Risky Steps | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Navy Times | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Celerity | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Soul P Say | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nebulas | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stand and Cheer | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Blessing | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charlie de Hustle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sizzlin Flyer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | A. P.’s Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Ella’s Actor | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gus’s Tizzy | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Louisiana Wildcat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Texican | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cape Lucas | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flashyboy Bobb | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Doctor | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spring Rodeo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cratus | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.