November 10, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 First Stone 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bahamian 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Sir Eddie 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Seahawk Wave 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Shanghai Billy 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Spanish Bay 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Goldie’s Hills 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Persuasive Cat 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Anziyan Cat 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 We Will Re Joyce 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Atrevida 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ciao Luna 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bragging Rights 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Easter Dream 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Queen Shelly Ann 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Mongolian Rahy 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Alystar 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Don’tbeboisterous 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Gotta Be Lucky 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sedamar 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Apache Princess 4.00 4 7-1
4 4 Stylin Ocean 4.00 4 7-1
1 1 The Pet 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Twirling Diamond 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Boolicious 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Autumn Isabella 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lindante 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 London Legacy 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Stringent 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Fire to the Wire 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Tavasco Road 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Aberdeen Island 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Super Touch 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Colonial Creed 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Mercy Mercy 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Flying Blue 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 My Sweet Baboo 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Grateful Praise 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Truffalino 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Hurley 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Bellazano 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 After the Rose 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Fashion Island 8.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carrie’s Success 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Jabber Now 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Lucky Val 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Swallows Inn Gal 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Sea Glass 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Majestic Authority 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Dressed in Prada 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Cee Sam’s Girl 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Wicked Sunset 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Greater Glory 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Let It Ride S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prince Earl 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Afleet Ascent 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Calexman 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Fight On 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Choo Choo 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Extrordinary Jerry 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Risky Proposition 10.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shivermetimbers 1.80 2.4 4-1
3 3 Ike Walker 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Curlin Road 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Captain Scotty 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Pepe Tono 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Mongolian Groom 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Engram 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Encanta 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bizwhacks 4.00 3 6-1
10 10 Tapwater 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ask the Customer 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Out of Balance 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Giza Goddess 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Hyde Park Corner (IRE) 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Samandah 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Reachreachreach 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Landon 20.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.