November 10, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Letsgetitontoo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Pierpont | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oliver’s Prayer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alluring Actor | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | First Recruit | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jr’s Sauvage | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Look Happy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cracker Jackson | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Geaux Easy | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cossinade Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sobriquiet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gato Caliente | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shoe’s to Remember | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tornado Man | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Bling Thing | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highroller Man | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Genuide | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Fast Dixie Gold | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tanq On the Rocks | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Racer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Believe in Us | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Belle Force | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seattle Brew | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joey G | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smok’n Rita | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Binding Magic | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Tashua | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hunter’s Humor | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Machete | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shane Doan | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Song N a Cat | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Prospector | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Heart Legend | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Theboyzdelight | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tin Roof Rusted | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cool Production | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Silver Zephyr | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Bling | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Colonel’s Pride | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Judge Dixon | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Methuselah | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ride a Saint | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cork Arm | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alexander | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One Drop | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scoot Too | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Shedrow Cocktails | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Changewilldoyagood | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nasty Critter | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Moon | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catlab | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | North Light Ridge | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Sky | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandana Heat | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lass Channel | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Singing Aces | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mundo Mutadda | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cats Beauty | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Off Cycle | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Linnie Laurine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizmyday | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultra Arumba (BRZ) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Electric Kiss | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shy Ruston | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seattle Firm | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Colliery | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maga Man | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reddy to Bet | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Bode | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love to Singh | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Sniper | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatdatpay Ray | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Book | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rock Creek | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indulgences | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R. V.’s Express | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Lion | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toast to Michael | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Pal Kay | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bubba Ray’s Sun | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dorcheat Zarb | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Your Bride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Church of England | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sizzlin Flyer | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Graceful Rules | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Town Boss | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heaven’s Hideaway | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Dansant | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Ruston | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fooling Jay | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Creole | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.