November 12, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Gal | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Miracle | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chitter Chatter | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Staythirstymyamigo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Lifted Up | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Portal Creek | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Desi Arnaz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Andyoushallreceive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Der Lu | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Chasing Yesterday | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | It’sjustanillusion | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Boujie Girl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flip the Coin Jan | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buckstopper Kit | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zestful | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Wild Kingdom | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Equity | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Sequoia | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point Guard | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Mission | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gia Lula | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Base | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Skyward | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desired Edge | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whata Flirt | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheyenne Dancer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Pajarito | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sellwood | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cupid’s Claws | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stonegate | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Buzz | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pitino | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pointed | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blitzkrieg | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Anthem | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Freddies Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Point Piper | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forever Juanito | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Monterey Shale | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneerof the West | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dukes Up | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harrovian | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holland Road | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seven Scents | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Silver Oak | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Ice | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honcho | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sammys Dream | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palladium | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Creep | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grab the Munny | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stay in Yo Lane | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calder Vale | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shake N Fries | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agronomo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lagoon Macaroon | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Class | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lifesbeengoodsofar | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard to Come Home | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Bay | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.