November 12, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Papa Dan |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bunnys Best Advise |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ba Cash My Ticket |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Fierce Hawk |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Flyin Fierce |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hop Skip N A Cop |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Preachin Lady Star |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Miliarius |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
One Pure Man |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Summertime Hawk |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
1 |
One Special Dynasty |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
6 |
Js Wildchick |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
She Zooms |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Fire Willie |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Catrina Royal Jet |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
7 |
Stolis Royal Rebel |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bh Country Chrome |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quattro Dude |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ozark Daredevil |
1.40 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coming in Hot |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hyho Travio |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Laney’s Gold |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heza Gamer |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Js Whoisthefoolnow |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Staracrossthewater |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Salty Nugget |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Ella Mae |
3.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spirits Fancy |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Foolstone |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Seismic Belle |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Live Piece |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kalamaity Gem |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Romeo Sunrise |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shotgun Bandit |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal Patriot |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quake N Grind |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
E Z Company E |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wemissstacy |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Come Find Me |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blingin |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Peaceful Presence |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Curlew Slew |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Splendor Hope |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mariana Grace |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Simone Bleu |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Crowded Way |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Bitty Cher |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Party for One |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mike Man’s Bro |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Straight Bourbon |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dee’s Luck |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sir Gawain |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crimson Warlock |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Perfect Night |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Mcfadden Memorial Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Uncle Kimo |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Atypique |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dynamic Scoring |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Return |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thunder |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Jay D |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Borg |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chu and I |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Watchmysixthirteen |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mario Karty |
1.40 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fifty Caliber |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz a Grindstone |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
De Six |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gibb’s Bullion |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Edie Wiggins |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.