November 14, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Production | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midge’s Magic | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show’em the Heat | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blakes Happiness | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz One Fee | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Word of the Day | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harvey’s Song | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Val’s Pal | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Becca’s Diamond | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Creation | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roadtogold | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Rail | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Brass | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkling Red Jet | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commanding Action | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deep End | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madeforlife | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Hands | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Story | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tumble Along | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Willow | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snowball | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Louisiane | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Galaxy Girl | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Jen | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Skipadee Due Da | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stay Ready | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Careless Whisper | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Fern Doll | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ringneckdove | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Castle Zip | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Sister | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emma’s Gift | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Late Appointment | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Town Surprise | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Indygo Rocket | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Threepeat | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Man Alive | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Eldon’s Jet | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aticketforwill | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Drewtempo | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bubba C | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Biermann | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cherry Freeze | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scissor Bill | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Some of Merit | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hatties Jewel | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blarney | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hawks Peak | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Senor Guitar | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toast to Don | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Maurice | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Gosh Gene | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Hoga | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doodee | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sammie’s Touch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 10 | Giagiajoe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Asdrubal | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Pi | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Harlons Commision | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Millie | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Untethered Soul | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miso Smooth | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Reina Isabel | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chloe Raven | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Cayenne | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | A We Bit Flirty | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Lydgate | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alex’s Turn | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Machinist | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exton | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exigent | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jade Star | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Banjo | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Due Apeal | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Too Much Gone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Steppin’ Outonher | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warned | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Etbauer’s Ide | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zacksgotthis | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Smile | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Man of Bethel | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Red Cat | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Burning Runner | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forum Form | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Silk Shirt Johnnie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bella Cinderella | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | You Could Be Mine | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pates Cat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Harlans Warrior | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfectly Precious | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Song | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Toga Dance | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Herencia | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Mom | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Te Na Na | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lil China | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.