November 19, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jacango | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cm Once Ina Bluemoon | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sneakin Tr | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L Bar D Genuine Red | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ez Frosty Morn | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diva Has It | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ag Favorite Cartel | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Brew | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Radiant Dash | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dopp Creek | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delta Bound | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tappin the Keg | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cannon Beach | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Tinydanzer | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Weave | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Abraajeena | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | April Blessing | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Champelina | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’smusictomyears | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toppers Truth | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jadey At the Bar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Karen’s Sweetie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Wish | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Powderd Sugar Suzy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sally Baby | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love U L C | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catchthewoodnapper | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Ragtime Beat | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kingpin Ruler | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Time to Fire | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trojan the Wildcat | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Toro John | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Meggy’s Amazing | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Phantom Heat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Sway | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Gem | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stately Command | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosies Baby | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shot of Reality | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isle Challenge | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Endeavor | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pet Gold | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Katsthoughts | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piper Piping | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Raise the Magarita | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Meanee | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Fiona | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parkers Rose | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye Sal | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Adventure | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Fabiela | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Maggie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Per La Bella | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sassafrass | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pepper Chrome | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Klosters (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skipaway Tiz | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Honey Carol | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Echo | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wood Machine | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Westley | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whistlin’ Laddie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Member State (GB) | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thisdewarsforyou | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Estate | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Pal Sully | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.