November 27, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Real Changes |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shotgun Bandit |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Romeo Sunrise |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tuff Talkin Texan |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Patriot |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
In for Lunch |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Plum Spooky |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dreamer S. |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zoombadaboom |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arviat Bay |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fluidity |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Iknowyourface |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dangerous Pursuit |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Come Find Me |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Romia |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Astounding Abby |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fast as Cash |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crowded Way |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Foolstone |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mariana Grace |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ponyboys Brother |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Hundredandoneproof |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Victimless Crime |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Water Preacher |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Nuhouse |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sunrise Candy |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dusalut |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Rox the Fox |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Gravel |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Delineator Express |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hello Son |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mario Karty |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Outdidya |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Laney’s Gold |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Snappy Jack |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Southern Solution |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ihearditallbefore |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kenai King |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valid Prince |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Tenacious |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boldly True |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
North Pacific |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kings Court |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Crimson Warlock |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Doc |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Jay D |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Justa Gusta |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Affluent Asset |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Legal Victory |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Minersingstheblues |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hot Tub |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cle Elum Phil |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Wood Machine |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Rosie’s Reward |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Thunder |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Que Chistoso |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Pure Pursuit |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Long Game |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
One Tuff Minister |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Formal Joker |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sweet Swindler |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seeking a Mystery |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hunterwood Point |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
My Son John |
4.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Thats No Bull |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Studhammer |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Our Power Surge |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Pure Brightness |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stately Command |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Excess R E |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tizzy Dean |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gotothemax |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alittle Bit Parker |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Relentless Rain |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.