December 1, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
D’rock |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Class Won |
1.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’m a C Looker |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
McKlintok |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trickertweet |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Walking in Faith |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Run Peck Run |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scoot Too |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Over Priced |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Uknowiaintlying |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midge’s Magic |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pretty Production |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Launchabind |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
D’or Fille |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sophie’s Illusion |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Ava Claire |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Love Davos |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mia O Maya |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Guest Appearance |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Flash Hands |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crispy Creed |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Dial Em In |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Madeforlife |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Front Money Morgan |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Queen Leda |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gal |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ethel Eileen |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
La Louisiane |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Chief Knockaway |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Finishlikeapro |
1.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thiscatsatalkin |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Valen Forever |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flit N Time |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ben’s Magic Stone |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
He’s a Super Jet |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Campus Leader |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jo Allen’s Buddy |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Andy’s Production |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Fireman Isaac Max |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Just Richter |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tin Roof Rusted |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cool Production |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alexander |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cork Arm |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speedy Huntur |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shoe’s to Remember |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ride a Saint |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Major Intimidation |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Atdabarwithmerrill |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Summer Appeal |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Colonial Power |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dujac |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cuco Trejo |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
A We Bit Flirty |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
U S Officer |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leroy Herman |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfect Parade |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Scrutiny |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
April Sugar |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Mila’s Gold |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Heaven’s Creation |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Pal Viv |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Yonna She Goes |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Hunky Dory |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Harper Bee |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sabe Marcelete |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rockin Sunday Mass |
1.40 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Peggys Ouest |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Special Blessing |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thegrayspider |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honest Victory |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swiftown Miss |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
De Last Dance |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Layla Forever |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Gone Wishin |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Goldenpence |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charlie Gulch |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Avaskentuckydream |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Country King |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yankee Trip |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Hero Pappy |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cee’s Memory |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Ranger Connection |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Pates Cat |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Risen Cork |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
All Spiced Up |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Bayouland Star |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Running Unbridled |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Last Destiny |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Easy Goin’ Girl |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Ms Tashua |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.