December 3, 2018 Portland Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jsg Cartellas Turbo | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Js Wildthing | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bonofly | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bedu | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Favorite Cowgirl | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ambers Dixielandbash | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ja Jones Last Dash | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unique Tap | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | L Bar D Xquizit Lips | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Summertime Hawk | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Make a Stash | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Flying Chick | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Pure Man | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mayitas First | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miliarius | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ag Favorite Cartel | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brewster the Rooster | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diva Has It | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Js Royal 613 | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jealous Jess | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flyin Fierce | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joel Cool | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Derby) – Pm Fall Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bunnys Best Advise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Warhock | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cm Once Ina Bluemoon | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jes Tex | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Eagle | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Okey Dokey Road | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Aint Callin | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Dream Demon | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Morning Brew | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cards N Coffee | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Trump | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simone Bleu | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Private Star | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gofargogo | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peppanella | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucy Lucy Lucy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don Roberta | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annual Reward | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blingin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Kelli S | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | April Blessing | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Weave | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mardi Gras Delight | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Yourself Home | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshineandwhiskey | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salty Nugget | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Splendor Hope | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seismic Belle | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Meanee | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye Sal | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fearless Fiona | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Show Stopper | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sassafrass | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Piper Piping | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Maggie | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polished Rock | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – City Of Roses H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Better in Leather | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Runner | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camano Comet | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovethisbar | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Formal Choice | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldie’s Darlins | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mike Man’s Bro | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Nitro | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Ranger | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chu and I | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dawson Who | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ridgefield Rocket | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rox the Fox | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Focus Now | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spirits Fancy | 1.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Overlook | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foolstone | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surfinatthebar | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alltheway Heather | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Edie Wiggins | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.