Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 7, 2018

December 7, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mars Curiosity 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Cale’s Gold 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Legendary Larry 1.60 4 8-1
2 2 Witch Hunt 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Say Charlie 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Mighty Intimidator 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sparky Sparkles 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Lucky Ricky 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scat At Ms. Pat’s 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Alittlebitextra 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Cohenscollegefund 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Blowing Bayou 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mamma Says 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 D’rockette 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Tizzy’s Song 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Miss Bitters 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Disapproval 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Max Our Man 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mauk Power 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Mister Ander 3.50 3.1 6-1
10 10 Band Boss 1.60 4.6 9-1
5 5 War Dude 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Cool Man 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Louisiana Creole 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Runciman 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Savannah Dandy 30.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Shermaesque Flag 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Hugo’s Last Song 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Valyrian 2.00 4 8-1
1 1 Theboyzdelight 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 It’s Mike’s Turn 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Bolitar 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Darylslittleengine 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Miracles Yankee 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Jackie Blu 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Gentlemengentlemen 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Song N a Cat 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Roberto Gato 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Changewilldoyagood 4.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Chat Rat 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 My Expectations 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Lukes Bad Boy 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Montbrooks Miracle 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Si Familia 4.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Killingit 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hero’s Divide 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Stick 30.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Leavethetip 30.00 7.6 14-1
11 10 King’s Share 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 C C Harris 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Twin Farms 3.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Flat Out Love 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 D’rocketman 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dark Harbor 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Insubordination 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Blended Lute 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Harry’s Lil Hippie 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Smooth Colliery 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 County Coroner 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Regal Heiress 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 She’s Got Moxy 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Silver’s Swan Song 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Honest Scarlet 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Lucky for Us 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Ice Party 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Dixie Doris 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr. Al’s Gal 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 She’sagraciouslady 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Fleet Halo 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Tell Your Mama 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Dr Liz 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Mariah’s Galaxy 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Suzie’s Dream 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Operatic 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Redtotherescue 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Queen of Gypsies 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Watch My Steam 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 A Pretty Face 1.80 3.7 7-1
3 3 Space Cowgirl 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Z Pride 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 Louisiana Lily 30.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Keelies Tea Party 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Miss Rippinlips 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Gettothepoint 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Honey Hearts 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Two J’s 8.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Becky’s Dude 4.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Sky Low 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 You Have a Point 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Holy American 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Sorcerer’s Bag 15.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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