Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 7, 2018

December 7, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bank On Andy (FR) 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Silver Giant 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 Rollin Smoke 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 One Million 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sunrise Hawk 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Simba’s Pride 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 11 Carolina Jasmine 8.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Lu Sea 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Giagiajoe 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Tough Kicks 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 1 D J Soul Sista 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Mizzen Air 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Previous Honor 4.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Starry Ide Elaine 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Desert Image 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Aint Annie Grand 12.00 6 11-1
7 6 Coco Honey 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Clever Prince 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 He’s No Bully 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 No More for U 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Yakadaddy 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Senator Con 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Brush With Caution 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Tough Charlie 4.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Princesschope (FR) 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Runninwiththewind 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Goddess of Kip 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Divine Quality 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Don’t Tell Marge 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 My Third Eye 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Punto de Entrada 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Seeds of Time 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brown’s Monkey 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Release the Beast 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 2 Jackpot Johnny 3.50 3 6-1
4 3 Whistling Wind 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Lil Blinkey 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Izzy B Winn 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Card Shark 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Candy Carlos 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cookies Are Good 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Baires Boy 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Trouble in Phoenix 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 California Swing 5.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Gustnado 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Tachi 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Wicked Stride 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Thunderberg 8.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Brerry 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Cortege 8.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Red Corvette 5.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 He’s Dann Good 12.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Briar Jumper 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Moon Over Cuzco 20.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 Large Scale 15.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Oro de Tejano 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 He’s a Climber 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Dad Said No 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Colombard 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Varykino 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Woman With a Book 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Hicks Is Lit 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Buddy Rocket 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Freudian Finish 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pordavino 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Inthemidstofbiz 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lovely Flash 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Caliente Candy 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Gun Club 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Lake Local 5.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 Khairiya 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Street Dazzle 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Winandyourin Gin 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Lorette 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Ginny B 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Awesome One 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Song and a Kiss 20.00 7.6 14-1
12 11 Precious Arch 20.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flashy Brew 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Charge the Line 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Alex’s Turn 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Oneholylion 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Scarlettsblackjack 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Myblendofwhisky 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 C’Mon Ve 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Discreetly D 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Dancehall Jack 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Magic City Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Branchwater 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Buggin Out 1.80 3.9 7-1
1 1 Out Late 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Menewa 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Babalight 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Gotta A. P. B. 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Indy’s Code 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Noisy Ripples 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Two Mikes N Doc G 20.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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