December 7, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Itgot Grandma 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Candy Store 1.20 3.6 7-1
2 2 Awesome D J 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Awesome Rally 15.00 4 7-1
7 7 Holly Sun 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Celtic Treasure 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Air Lift 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Poplar Avenue 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Boondoggle 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Tale of the Blade 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sound Off 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Telling Warrior 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Yukon Goldust 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Freedom Storm 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mike the Tiger 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Dr. Cerrato 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Relentless Lion 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Orient Point 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Lunar Boogie 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 We Made It 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Itshouldbefine 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Great Rhythm 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tiger Eyes 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Gimme Kimmy 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Senora de Lujan 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Telesa 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Springtime Wind 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Corvid 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Missin Maggie 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Astro Pop Kid 4.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Top Hat Ragtop 4.50 SCRATCH
4A 4 Samadi Blue 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Southern Rules 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 By the Bay 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Nick Papagiorgio 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Blue Danube 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Wall 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 8 Liar 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 7 Seany P 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Syrah 4.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Liz’s Smile 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 4 War Tweet 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Sipping Champagne 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Louise 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Hard Rockin Blues 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Sophie N 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Smoochin Candy 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 Out of the Way 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bo Vuk 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Westerdale 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Forced 1.40 2.9 6-1
2 2 Gnarly 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mandel 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Cousin Jimmy 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Sir Alfred 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Toe Curlin’ Kiss 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Statesboro 3.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Successful Zip 2.50 3 6-1
4 3 Win Win Win 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 By the Sey Shore 6.00 4.4 8-1
6A 5 Brother Tez 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Lady’s Weekend 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Sunman 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 M G Broker 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 I B Charly 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Onemoregreattime 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Taco Supream 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Sonic Boom E Jet 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 High Roller 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Dynamic Asset 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Big Bella Brown 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Keuka Roller 20.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Mr. Fixit 5.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Lacrostix 30.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 My Pirate 15.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Port Louis 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.