December 12, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Holiday | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Handsome | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire Power | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inhibition | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fortune Cookie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Areyoutalkingtome | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’s Marsh | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlins Vow | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elizabeth’s Vow | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Sunset | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Windjammer (GER) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reiltin Oir | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Treasure | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mija Bella | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s No Joke | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Abdication | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Glorious Freedom | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peggity | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Herecitykitty | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tapete Claire | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose M. | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alta Bambina | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dawn Lightning | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnato Go | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zarabanda | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Momma Tries | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casual Caro | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fightinirishtabit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brag Dude | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outside Lookin In | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Knight | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Interlaken | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marnesia One Step | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Booming Bodhran | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | London Werewolf | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Prose | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Duper Visor | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Marjorie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Filly Holiday | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Matzo Bella | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charge It Jenn | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Getmotherarose | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | It’s Complicated | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Indicia | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Red Robe (GB) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bello Porte | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Folly | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Life Time Citizen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Love and Lemons | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gracias Adios | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Not Nice | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy River | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | True Heiress | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Solarte | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Proud Legacy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Barbados Kitten | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rethinkme | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wishfully | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Freudee | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Can You See Me | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Cash On Hand | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Army Scout | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Front Run the Fed | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justcallmenorman | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Onthewaytonevrland (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Mania | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Allday | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wacky Pal | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honey Won’t | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | He’s No Lemon | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rochambeau | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Impunity | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Leo | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Trev | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Starship Wildcat | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harry’s Gone Gray | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amelia’s Wild Ride | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Black Pepper | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vino | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kantharos’ Image | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | At Odds | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frenchmen Street | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Roc | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A Bit of Both | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Arts and Crafts | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Midtown Rose | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jeltrin | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Creedibility | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rosedale | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Celebrateme | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crumb Bun | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bellamy Street | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Zalza | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Watch Your Step | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gem Juan | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zaman | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Playon | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Treasure Bay | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Karas | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bruno Nose Best | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tizm | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Deweycheatemanhowe | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Perfect Beam | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.