December 13, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Quiet Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Toast to Michael | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | R. V.’s Express | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Correa | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flirtation Device | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Debriyn | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Man Behind the Bar | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kool Yankee | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Primetime Tiz | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Boss Jack | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windys Roadway | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tricky Slew | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Showcase Mall | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dewey’s Bull | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Las Vegas | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Walking in Faith | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heartsetsmeonfire | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenai Star | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’rock | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a C Looker | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Crescent Lace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Missbudlitetime | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Come On Nancy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Green Lakes | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yes Babe | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Open Forest | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full Fleet | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theyankeefuse | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castalia Bella | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Force | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conspicuous Woman | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Summer Appeal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hunter’s Humor | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stihl Harbor | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shedrow Cocktails | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Time Streaker | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Howe Amazing | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bee Jay Gee | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jake Jourdan | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cat Sup | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pollo | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cadillac Frankie | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Vision | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Set Joe | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash’s Adventure | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | See Dat | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Widow | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Play’em Or Fold’em | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Wekati | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maline | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Bloom | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mila’s Gold | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiftown Miss | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Year’s Party | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kodiak Sky | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waitin On the Gold | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Arch Arch Baby | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Sid N Say | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Lefthoofrightleft | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2B | 5 | Zyanara | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sister Ashlee | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Toomuch | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cause You Can | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Five Star Nap | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Jokers Queen | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zanesville | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bode’s Maker | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Moon | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celerity | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie’s Schiller | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Blessing | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Wined Up | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jacob Rocks | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Perfect Graydar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Voo Doo Doc | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ice Peak | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drew’s Shot | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoops Cigar | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D W Washburn | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eye Cloud | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Miss Cissy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Canadian Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Special Reason | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ragazza Ritmo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ratatouille | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Princess | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Rosebud | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil China | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dorkas | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothoutthetrack | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reign of Faith | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.