December 13, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Charlotte Ann | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Anang | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Clutchin | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honduras Girl | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Untuttable Speed | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blondie Lox Babe | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | It’s Kisses | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Commanding Candy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Time Flies By | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mine My Time | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Milk Chocolate | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overanalyzfakenews | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cube | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tinseltown Kitten | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rock N Sake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sea Vow | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Snapper Bite | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Choice | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reckless Ransom | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Outback Jack | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Timeslikethese | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Split Tens | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Letthebigshot Roll | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Humor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War Bond | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Domikate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Western Reserve | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Aces High | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Resilient Rick | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mono | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Mosta Flyin | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saints’ Girl | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Brees | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Moment | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Thought | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Till Two | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yalisha | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Believeinsomething | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Tommy C Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Survey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Grandgran | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pippin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Federal Dominance | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | He’s the Souperwon | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Limnery | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Parade Field | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Johny’s Bobby | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Temple | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Whata Perfect Day | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brody Takes Charge | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Bullet | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Air Balloon | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Napoleon’s Empire | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sarcillo | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nineteenth Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Swing and Sway | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Astrollinthepark | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maybe Wicked | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Divine Queen | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honor Way | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thoughtless | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Onarock | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Flat Out Beautiful | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Freemore | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Temple City Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | A Man Called Boady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Crafty Daddy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Beautiful Wall | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Cashanova | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Sharp Prospect | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Tapit Wise | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Swordsman | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Data | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lovesomuch | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plumb Line | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Galindo | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Fever Temple | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Singing Deacon | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Ten | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Carmelized | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Letters | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | They Call Me Seb | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dude Greeley | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hope for Value | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tylers Bandit | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half of Tip Tap | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Whathadhappenwuz | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unk’s Red Man | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.