December 13, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Truck Salesman |
1.20 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Time N Money |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
He’s Zippin On By |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gran Martillo |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runningwscissors |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royal Aspirations |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Scattering Mink |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Creative Contessa |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
A Little Unruly |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Withholding Info |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mela Jones |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ria Munk |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Wicked Sunset |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smart Rachel |
1.40 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royal Astronomer |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sugaratsundown |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Misty Moni |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lookingforthewire |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mergie Troid |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Extreme Heat |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wit and Wisdom |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quad |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Royal Seeker |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hesa Ranegade |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tap Tap Boom |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Angry Bobby |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Callie Mesa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Eskenforadrink |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Peppered Gold |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sunset Melody |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Gypsy’s Rule |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coco Smooches |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
My Ebony Star |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Slightly |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Kenzou’s Rhythm |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bay Area |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Banze No Oeste (BRZ) |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Freddies Dream |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Harrovian |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Preacher Roe |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shirl’s Ready |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bonneville Flats |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Take Charge Gal |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Rolling Shadow |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Midnight Lilly |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Pulpitinthesky |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Road Test |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Peachy |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Copper Cowgirl |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Madame Warrior |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Implicitly |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rak City |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Serve Me a Double |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Derby Factor |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blaze of Glory |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dude’s Dude |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Skagit River |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gold and Guns |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Malachim |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jonas |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mr. Esken |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.