December 14, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cat’s Hit | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jolie Gee | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Friends Talk | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Call | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bubbas Lucky Spell | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laura’s Pick | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gabby’s Freedom | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Prayer | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smell the Rain | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m a Great Rebel | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Zip ‘n Sip | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Imindycatbirdseat | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Madiba | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Mallory’s Bandit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Just Kissing Buck | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valentine Street | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Aaron’s Bluff | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Randy Paul | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bayouland Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | One K Queen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Sensation | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wish for Interest | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Uruguay | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Slippers | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hiclass Production | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sarah’s Valley | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Screaming Pride | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lionshareofpromise | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We Can Dream | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mylie Idel | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | On Cycle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stanton C | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kiss Him Twice | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lip Service | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Valiant City | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap That Word | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chief Knockaway | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Weknewuweretrouble | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Valse | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gasolina | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valen Forever | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jo Allen’s Buddy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King Cookie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Best Little Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ch Bern | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Big City | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Sign | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Make Me Smile | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Trumps Revenge | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Brutalize | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Song and a G | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Destinedtobeastar | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Brian’s Spirit | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Addaichi | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Sniper | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | U Complete Me | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impish Babe | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First to Score | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Stop Kohen | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Kay | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Fast Dixie Gold | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toast to Michael | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Will Burn Tails | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hope for Value | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Point of America | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buck Dynasty | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overnight Stay | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McKlintok | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Bling | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha Bravo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hardly Seen Slim | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Landonese | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Mario | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Tonedaddy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Gentrified | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Exemplar | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gladyousawme | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bagpipes | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flawless Forecast | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mischievous Bull | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judge N Ruler | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | True Emperor | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stage Show | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jack With Seven | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picadilly Roadster | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toss the Tub | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scherer Magic | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tonto M | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heartland Hit | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chukka | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kingston Ruler | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | R. C. Owens | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold Me Kat | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cracker Jackson | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St. Pete’s Crown | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puddin’s the Man | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Geaux Easy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Asap | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brush Whacker | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scottish Stretch | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.