December 19, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gobler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cape Town Willy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Worldly Cry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | How About a Date | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Uptown Bling | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whiskey Storm | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Icy Willie | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nobody | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Six Grand | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lenape Drive | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caeus in Pasadena | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Goliath Ridge | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cool Spring | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sixteen Punches | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Betty Booyah | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Mella Bella | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allstar Superstar | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Space Cowgirl | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gladys’ Frontier | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | College Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Flush King | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Man Camp | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Rainey Day | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Bucket List | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pat Me Down | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conniejoe | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maclean’s Silver | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Dinski | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Galaxy’s Preston | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Player | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Otto Parts | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Goodprofit | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Fortune Got Even | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Madeforlife | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distinct Flirt | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lily’s Pose | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Me | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tumble Along | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Flashback | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Betabearly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Arroyo Blanco | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Saved by Zero | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yankee Express | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gentlemengentlemen | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Benny Colors | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rhettever | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Just Richter | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trickertweet | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Drewstormin | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elegant Idea | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scottish Bu | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hannah Bo Baby | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Yankee | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ole Black Magic | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of a Cat | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notional Star | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Breeze of Cinnamon | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indygo Rocket | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sarvelio | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indulgences | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Genuide | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Image | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sobriquiet | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wirey Won | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slew’s Shot | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Highroller Man | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lion Heart Legend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jackie Blu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Only Liquor | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Skylas Gold | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cash for the Soul | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oso Ready | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dion | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Wise Cat | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormation | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | I Rate First | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Runnin Sky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Parade | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 0.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J J Queen | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scrutiny | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | North Light Ridge | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beau Gator | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Burning Runner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tooth | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Whistling Ranger | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colonial Power | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Salutetheprince | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singing Aces | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Bird | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Man of Bethel | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | K Kiddo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sandana Heat | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toast to Don | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.